World economic system will ‘massively endure’ from Donald Trump tariffs, Ursula von der Leyen warns – Europe stay | World information

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Morning opening: A damaged stick

Jakub Krupa

European Fee president Ursula von der Leyen warned this morning that the worldwide economic system “will massively endure” on account of tariffs imposed by US president Donald Trump final night time, as she mentioned the EU was “ready to reply.”

Regardless of Trump’s direct assault on “pathetic” EU as he imposed 20% tariffs on the bloc, von der Leyen nonetheless expressed hopes that the connection might “transfer from confrontation to negotiation,” as she warned “there appears to be no order in dysfunction.”

But it surely wasn’t instantly apparent that there was any real prospect of that taking place.

As an alternative the EU and the person member states are actually scrambling to think about the best way to handle the scenario.

French president Emmanuel Macron has referred to as an emergency assembly with sectors affected by Trump’s tariffs this afternoon.

German financial each day Handelsblatt revealed new estimates this morning that the US tariffs – together with 25% on automobile imports – might price German carmakers BMW, Mercedes and Volkswagen as a lot as €11 bn given Germany is the most important EU automobile exporter to the US. For perspective, it’s just below a 3rd of the whole worth of German automotive exports to the US at €36.8 bn.

However the fear just isn’t solely in regards to the instant impression, however the extra long run penalties of final night time’s resolution.

Addressing Europeans immediately, von der Leyen mentioned “I do know that a lot of you’re feeling let down by our oldest ally,” as she harassed the necessity to consider what’s subsequent.

Or as Moritz Schularick, president of the Kiel Institute for the World Financial system, put it to Handelsblatt:

“There may be this memorable image of a stick that you could bend and that comes again time and again. However sooner or later, if you happen to bend an excessive amount of, the stick breaks.

I imagine that by way of belief in america, one thing has damaged down in current weeks that won’t come again so shortly.”

A map exhibiting international locations exporting most items to the US

It’s Thursday, 3 April 2025, it’s Jakub Krupa right here, and that is Europe Dwell.

Good morning. Fasten your seatbelts, it’s going to be a energetic one.

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Key occasions

EU’s choices on responding to Trump’s tariffs

Jennifer Rankin

Jennifer Rankin

The EU has some choices when contemplating its response to in a single day bulletins, together with retaliating with tariffs on US items and companies and forming nearer ties with different international locations.

The bloc has already rejected one attainable possibility: fold your playing cards. However vowing retaliation is just the beginning.

The questions are about what response the EU can have, how shortly it may be marshalled and whether or not divisions between member states will undermine the powerful discuss.

The EU response will rely upon how tightly its 27 member states line up behind a typical technique in a commerce warfare that would set off financial turmoil and job losses in Europe. An early indication ought to come on Monday when EU commerce ministers meet to debate the retaliation deliberate for this month and different measures.

Nerves are constructing. France is frightened in regards to the fallout on its wines and spirits trade; Dublin fears an exodus of US multinationals headquartered in Eire; and the Italian prime minister, Giorgia Meloni, has mentioned the bloc shouldn’t act on impulse whereas the nationwide trade group Confindustria has referred to as for negotiations with the White Home.

Forging a typical line might be crucial to new types of commerce retaliation: for instance, solely a weighted majority of EU international locations can resolve whether or not the bloc is dealing with coercion from the US. That might be an consequence virtually nobody imagined a decade in the past.

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